Last Saturday we targeted just the one race and made a modest profit. That takes our 2013 tally to 17 winning bets from 27 races. At this stage of the year we have smiling Sydney Colt groupies and punt drunks everywhere. It is never too late to jump aboard.

Race 1 n1 TOYDINI The most improved neddy in Sydney since being gelded. No fancy price but looks a safe conveyance.

Race 4 n9 ITS A DUNDEEL Why does everyone want to knock this one today? Forget the 3yo form history of this race as this neddy is one out of the box. Can sprint and stay!

Race 5 n3 FAST ‘N’ ROCKING e/w Looks a great bet e/w and has been crying out for a longer trip. Barrier 1 is a ++

Race 6 n4 KELINNI Ran 4th in Melb Cup so do I need to say any more? Is in form and this is a weak Sydney Cup.

Race 7 n6 MORE JOYOUS The 1400m is ideal for this class mare. With race fitness on her side. I have doubts All Too Hard can give it a head start and a beating.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

Our 1 bet last week ran a shocker and I noted the stewards report said it pulled up distressed. Well I think I was feeling worse than the neddy! So it was money lost but our confidence is still sky high with our 2013 punting showing 16 winning races from 26 bets. With a heavy 9 at Randwick we are only betting in 1 race where I am extremely confident our betting strategy will return a modest profit.

Race 2 n1 EVERAGE and n2 MAJOR CONQUEST. Back both level stakes on BOBs (Luxbet, Betstar & Bookmaker.com). With these 2 we are covering the superior form lines and taking account of the heavy track. If you are not backing them BOBs you may as well keep your wallet in your coat pocket.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

Last week was memorable with 4 bets for 4 wins, with 3 of them over $3 for those that bet BOBs (Luxbet, Betstar & Bookmaker.com). So for 2013 we have now had 25 bets for 16 wins. Very tough day to tip as the 3 group 1 races all have odds on favs. No point in tipping them as any Tom, Dick or Harry can. Just 1 bet today and then sit back and enjoy group racing for the remainder of the day.

Race 1 n6 IL CAVALLO This neddy is a winner from its only start and ran great sectionals. After today will be heading out for a rest before a big Spring campaign. They didn’t bring it to Sydney for the wonderful sunshine. This is possibly a 2 horse race but IL CAVALLO has the advantage of barrier 1.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

Last week we had 3 bets for 2 wins including SIDESTEP who paid $3.2 BOBs. As I keep repeating you must bet BOBs with the corporate bookies to get the best odds (Luxbet, Betstar & Bookmaker.com). Our tally of winning bets for 2013 is now 12 from 21. Those who followed comments made on the 16 Feb post re OVERREACH may be like me and have this Golden Slipper fav running for us at $17.00 – give it strength!!

Race 1 n1 LIGHTS OF HEAVEN Placed in a Caulfield Cup and has a ton of class on this lot.

Race 4 n3 NORZITA Back to own age group and would have won last start if not slow out.

Race 7 n11 OVERREACH Give it strength for those of us who grabbed a slice of $17 on 16 Feb.

Race 8 n11 PIERRO Load up on this neddy as it will win!! Has a lot on this field on ratings and recent form. Unbeaten in Sydney and will keep that record today.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

4 winning bets from 6 last week gives us a records of 10 from 18 in 2013. It is very hard to find winners today except perhaps IT’s A DUNDEEL which just about picks itself. Anyway we have 3 bets today for Sydney Colt groupies and punt drunks everywhere.

Race 4 n4 SIDESTEP Comes out of the Black Opal which has proved a hot form race. Dumped the jockey last Saturday. If McEvoy can hang on it will be in the placings for sure.

Race 6 n2 IT’S A DUNDEEL I was keen on this neddy before the scratching of Fiveandahalfstars and therefore it now moves to a “good thing” bet. Very skinny in betting so betting BOBs with several of the corporate bookies is a must.

Race 9 n3 SOFT SAND Keen on this Melb raider who has a touch of class on the opposition. The biggest worry is any lack of pace.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

Last week left us a little cold with 2 seconds from 2 bets. That left us with 6 wins from 12 bets in 2013. Today we have identified a host of bets, with some at juicy each way prices for Sydney Colt groupies and punt drunks everywhere.

Race 2 n2 OVERREACH Expect this will confirm her as the hot Slipper fav.

Race 3 n9 LUNAYIR e/w Last win great. If it had a decent barrier it would be a certainty to fill a hole. Hoping for a bit of luck in the 1st 300m.

Race 4 n5 CHARLIE BOY I suspect this neddy may be the pick of the colts for the Slipper. Like LUNAYIR this one needs an ounce of luck from the barrier.

Race 5 n10 HIGH SHOT e/w This Melb visitor has had excuses this preparation. Has a ton of potential. Definitely over the odds.

Race 8 n10 PIERRO 3yos have had a dominant season. Expect this champ to beat some very good group 1 horses. Blinkers go back on!!

Race 9 n13 SANTA DE NOCHE We are blessed to have such a great bet in the “getout stakes”.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

Last week we had 3 bets for 2 collects making it 6 wins from 10 bets in 2013. It is never too late to get the winning feeling. Dry tracks have been a ++ for us in the past few weeks.

Race 5 n6 CHOICE WORDS Chased home 2 outstanding horses last start and is in a race to suit today. Is great value with the corporate bookies this morning.

Race 6 n3 PROISIR The word from Randwick is that this neddy is flying since its 1st up assignment where it looked gross.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

4 winners from 7 tips in 2013 despite some heavy tracks. Today we are on a “good 3”. This provides excellent opportunities for profit. Get on board!

Race 1 n2 AWARD SEASON This neddy has been sent north by the Mexicans to steal our money. It is well found in the market but it has tons more ability than any other runner. Only needs to be right to win against this ordinary lot

Race 2 n3 IN CAHOOTS – PLACE BET – I had a few bob on this neddy at fixed odds of $13 this morning and had a real good crack at $3.70 a place. I doubt it will be these odds on course so get a bet on now. Has a wing on every foot and ran excellent 2nd to Assail before a spell.

Race 3 n4 STEPS IN TIME Class mare who was super impressive in beating a next start winner. Should control the race up front. Have been told it has improved on the track since!

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

Dear oh dear, how are the punt drunks among us meant to make a profit on these continuing wet tracks? Like last week I suggested you bet small or don’t bet at all! Having said that I am full of confidence with our mail today compared to the sub-standard Warwick Farm meeting last week.

Race 4 n7 CHARGE ACCOUNT They are betting black odds about this up and comer who beat older horses and ran great sectionals. Very good horse.

Race 7 n2 RED TRACER The odds about this neddy are very slim but there are 2 good reasons for that (1) It is better than them and (2) Has won 4 from 4 on heavy tracks!! A must bet!

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.