Gelding’s hot selections for today’s Caulfield races

IMG00123-20101219-1210The Gelding’s attention returns to his home track at Caulfield today after a win and several near misses with last week’s selections. The ladies at the Tennis club were unlucky with the second selection with a questionable ride by the jockey severely affecting the horse’s chances.

That being said, there is plenty of value in today’s selections.

As always the bets are on an each way and all up basis.

Caulfield

Race 3 Horse 8 – Henwood
Race 5 Horse 15 – Vain Queen
Race 7 Horse 3 – Gregers (for the ladies at the Tennis club)
Race 8 Horse 2 – Boban (also for the ladies at the Tennis club)
Race 9 Horse 10 – Marksmanship

Good luck and good punting!

The Gelding

Friday musing – AFL, final eight, Arsenal, Champions League…..

Chris Barwin HillsWell with one round of the AFL season to go there is still a great deal of interest in the final positions in the final eight.

Should the results go as expected it will be a battle between Adelaide and West Coast on percentage for the final position, but Richmond have their fate in their own hands so it is the position you want to be in from a Richmond point of view. If the game was in Melbourne I would give them a genuine chance, but being in Sydney I think I will have to favour the home team. That being said, the Swans will know the equation necessary to hold top spot as Hawthorn play Collingwood tonight and a big win by Hawthorn and a loss to Sydney could see the Swans lose top spot.

Looking to the other games, Geelong should beat Brisbane at home, but if you cast your mind back to the corresponding game last year Brisbane lost by a kick in controversial circumstances. Geelong have won a lot of games this year by small margins and have not played out four quarters many times and if they lose and Fremantle win, Geelong could drop to fourth. Fremantle need to win to at least hold fourth spot as a loss to Port Adelaide will see Port take fourth spot.

North Melbourne looks to be the only team that cannot go up or down, they are a game and 16% below Port and a game and 10% ahead of Essendon, so they look like retaining sixth position with a home final. Essendon need to beat Carlton to retain seventh position to play North in Melbourne, or run the risk that a loss to Carlton and a win by Richmond could see them head interstate to play Freo or Port.

It is a great last round as so many positions could change, but I am predicting the status quo and games going with the favourites, so that will leave Adelaide and West Coast to fight out eighth position on percentage. My tip is Adelaide to just get there and play a home final against Port in the first week of the finals.

Also great to see the Gunners make it through to the Champions League again. They have drawn a reasonable group and should at least get through to the next round.

Have a great weekend!

Gelding’s red hotties for Moonee Valley on 23 August 2014

42After a reasonable few weeks, the Gelding’s attention turns to Moonee Valley tomorrow and he is confident of another good return, especially for the ladies at the tennis club!

As always the bets are on an each way and all up basis.

Moonee Valley

Race 3 Horse 5 - Under the Louvre
Race 5 Horse 3 – Girl Guide (for the ladies at the Tennis club)
Race 6 Horse 2 – Orujo
Race 8 Horse 10 – Shamal Wind (also for the ladies at the Tennis club)
Race 9 Horse 2 – Foundry

Good luck and good punting!

The Gelding

Friday musing – AFL, final eight, Richmond FC, Essendon FC…..

Chris Barwin HillsWell it is getting to the business end of the AFL season with still a few spots up for grabs and the final order still to be decided.

Richmond have come out of nowhere to put pressure on the lower reaches of the final eight, but the final game against the Swans in Sydney may spell the end of an inspired run. Some sides have failed to consolidate their spots and in the case of Collingwood & Gold Coast they have actually relinquished their positions in the eight. In my opinion it has now come down to Essendon, Adelaide and Richmond competing for the last two positions. If Essendon win this week and Adelaide lose to North, then I think the Bombers will be safe. At least there is still some interest coming into the final two rounds.

I must say I did not think Brenton Sanderson did his team any favours by having a whine about having to play Brisbane in Brisbane on a day when it was 24 degrees. Adelaide is not known for it’s freezing winters and 24 degrees is not uncommon come September. I went to the 2001 Grand Final and it got to about 28 degrees that day. If you go back to 1986 or 1987 and the Grand Final was played when it was 32 degrees. By complaining about having to play in those conditions he was making an excuse for his team against Richmond before they had even played! Not a good move in my opinion.

Another issue to come out of the Adelaide -v- Richmond game was the score review system denying Rory Sloane a goal. I have harped on about the SRS before and I think it is unnecessary and we should just rely on the goal umpire who is usually in the best position to judge. It is unusual to have howlers like the Tom Hawkins goal in the 2009 grand final, but the game should just live with the consequences.

Have a great weekend!

Gelding’s hot tips for Caulfield on 16 August 2014

the gelding & othersThe Gelding’s attention is on his home track at Caulfield tomorrow as his bank continues to grow for a real run at the Spring carnival fields. The ladies at the tennis club were happy again last week and no doubt their Christmas function this year will have the good champagne on ice!

As always the bets are on an each way and all up basis.

Caulfield

Race 1 Horse 5 – Spirit of Heaven (for the ladies at the Tennis club)
Race 5 Horse 1 – Moment of Change
Race 6 Horse 3 – Royal Snitzel
Race 8 Horse 5 – Lidari
Race 9 Horse 2 – Gregers (also for the ladies at the Tennis club)

Good luck and good punting!

The Gelding

Gelding’s red hotties for 9 August 2014

sean & geldingThe Gelding’s attention returns to Flemington this weekend and after a big day last Saturday, he is looking to build a war chest for the Spring carnival.

No doubt the ladies at the tennis club got a windfall return last week if they followed the tips!!

As usual the bets are on an each way and all up basis.

Flemington

Race 2 Horse 3 – Eclair Samba (for the ladies at the Tennis club)
Race 3 Horse 5 – Anfitriona
Race 5 Horse 9 – Marwood
Race 6 Horse 6 – Eximus
Race 7 Horse 1 – Tiger Tees (also for the ladies at the Tennis club)

Good luck and good punting.

The Gelding

Friday musing – AFL, Match Review Panel, Nathan Fyffe…..

Chris Barwin HillsIt has been a busy couple of weeks and I must say sport has probably been a long way from my thoughts.

One of the bigger AFL issues rearing it’s head at the moment is the prospect of Nathan Fyffe getting the most votes in the Brownlow, but being ineligible. I must say he was most unfortunate to be suspended for the incident that was in essence a head clash, but because of the change in rules and because he opted to bump, he was suspended. If the same thing happened last year he would not have been suspended and if the jungle drums are correct, the rule may be clarified next year which may not result in a suspension which would then not preclude a player from winning the Brownlow medal. So we may have the farcical situation where he misses out on the Brownlow on the basis of a rule which existed for one year. How ludicrous would that be!

You think of the other 2 “winners” who missed out on the Brownlow due to suspensions – Corey McKernan and Chris Grant. Both their incidents under the current Match Review Panel system, would probably only result in a reprimand due to lack of force. The AFL has amended rules in the past to allow winners who lost on a count back to be awarded medals and perhaps it is time that McKernan & Grant’s incidents were reviewed in light of current assessments. In McKernan’s case it would not jeopardise the actual winners as James Hird & Michael Voss had the same number of votes as McKernan, but Robert Harvey polled less votes than Grant and that may be an issue.

As an aside, Corey McKernan also missed out on the Rising Star award because of a suspension which was also lacking in force, but let us leave than one alone.

Have a great weekend!

Gelding’s red hot tips for 2 August 2014

gelding teeThe Gelding’s attention is at Moonee Valley tomorrow. After last week’s melt down, he has put the results down to the cold weather and condition of the track. Spoken like a true punter!

As usual the bets are on an all up and each way basis.

Moonee Valley

Race 3 Horse 3 - Backbone (for the ladies at the Tennis club)
Race 4 Horse 1 – Lord Of the Sky
Race 7 Horse 5 – Under the Louvre
Race 8 Horse 1 – The Cleaner (also for the ladies at the Tennis club)
Race 9 Horse 7 – Jessy Belle

Good luck and good punting!

The Gelding

Friday musing – Essendon FC, James Hird, Father/Son rule……

Chris Barwin HillsThere have been a few Essendon issues popping up this week and I thought I would provide the perspective of a footy fan:

1) Should Dustin Fletcher play on? The question came up after a poor game against the Bulldogs and being left out of the team that beat Port Adelaide. I think he should play on next year, his form generally this year has been good, his game against Collingwood the previous week could not be faulted and I think you will find at the end of the year, in the previous game against the Bulldogs he will probably be in the umpire’s votes. If he plays on next year he will get to 400 games which is a significant milestone and even worth putting him on the list as a mature age rookie to try and get him over the line next year.

2) Should James Hird return to the coaches box once his suspension has been served? I think he should be able to return to the club, but he should stay away from the coaches box until the club has completed the 2014 campaign. Leave the match day coaching to Bomber and his assistants, but get involved behind closed doors as he will need to be across the list as soon as the season has been completed to prepare for the draft etc.

There has also been discussions about the Father/Son rule and the northern states academies. With regard to the Father/Son rule I think it should remain as it is as it is a great part of our game that a player has the option to play for his father’s ex-team in certain circumstances. I actually think there should be a brother/brother rule, particularly with regard to twins. I thought it was harsh when the Selwood twins ended up in Brisbane and Perth respectively, not only for them, but their parents as well. Then Joel ends up at Geelong! There is also the Brown twins, where Nathan ended up at Collingwood and Mitchell at West Coast, again harsh for them and their parents. Who do you barrack for?

With the northern states academies, I think if they have put the time and energy into preparing the players and that was the basis on which the academies were set up, then I don’t think there should be an issue. Having said that, perhaps the academies should be run by both clubs in that state, ie. Sydney and GWS and whichever team has first choice in the draft has the right of first refusal for that player.

Anyhow we have an interesting season panning out with five or six clubs vying for three or four spots in the final eight which should maintain the interest for those positions right until the end of the season.

Have a great weekend!

Gelding’s ‘hotties’ for 26 July 2014

Mar 6 2011 010The Gelding’s attention returns to his home track of Caulfield tomorrow and after some modest success last week, he is keen and eager to improve on that form this outing.

As always the bets are on an each way and all up basis.

Caulfield

Race 2 Horse 2 – Pyrrolic
Race 3 Horse 1 – Self Sense
Race 4 Horse 2 – Kristy Lee (for the ladies at the Tennis club)
Race 5 Horse 5 - Lord Of the Sky (also for the ladies at the Tennis club)
Race 7 Horse 1 – Word of Month

Good luck and good punting!

The Gelding