Every man and his dog wants to tip me something today. I have mail for 7 races but will keep it to 5 which is more than ample to satisfy the punt drunks amongst us.

Race 1 n9 TAVARNELLE Having 1st start but made trial watchers checking their clocks in a recent trial.

Race 2 n3 AKINOSHIRABE e/w This neddy looked good 2 starts ago but pulled up lame explaining its poor last start showing. We can secure an e/w price owing to its last run.

Race 3 n12 STATE GRADE Our VIC cousins know this neddy. Up today for this race. Has G Boss and up in distance – all +++

Race 4 n6 OFCOURSEICAN e/w A very good fresh horse and is 1st up here. Has an excellent barrier and been working very well.

Race 5 n2 SMART MISSILE Is this neddy a superstar? I think it potentially is and I have taken $2.1 fixed odds with BETCHOICE for half my stake and the other half goes on BOB (best of best) with LUXBET. This will give me the best of 3 totes or best bookies fluc whichever is the better price.

If you are still betting with your state TAB you are a fair dinkum idiot!

 Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

Last week we had a huge fill up with 3 wins and 1 place from 5 tips with the best paying $6.4. So we went from baked beans 2 weeks ago to lobster and scampi last week. Not as much mail about this week and I hate that the meeting has been moved from Randwick to ‘The Farm’. Please don’t waste cash at the TAB. Only bet with the Corporate bookies if you have any respect for money.

Race 1 n4 SIENNA RED Not much value here but all the maps have this neddy up front with a lack of true pace. Definitely worth a bet for punt drunks.

Race 4 n8 OBSEQUIOUS Is 1st up and always runs a top race fresh. Has no weight and the corporate bookies let the Sydney Colt’s groupies on at $5.5 yesterday.

Race 8 n14 SECRET ADMIRER Even Stevie Wonder could see how impressive this neddy was 1st up. I’m told it comes in great on ratings and has no weight. Follow this one through the Spring carnival.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

The bookies may have got the cash last week but the confidence to bounce back is sky high with some good mail around for today with a mix of favs and e/w value awaiting.

Race 1 n9 EMERALD DOWNS e/w The mail around this morning says this neddy is ready to run a race 1st up. The fav PHENOMENAL LASS will be hard to run down but I’m happy to bet e/w on our pick.

Race 2 n6 JUST THE TONIC 2 sources have told me how impressive this neddy has been on the track since running great sectionals winning.

Race 5 n2 SMART MISSILE I usually leave it to the Gelding to tip the really short priced horses to keep the win/bet ratio up but this is an exceptional animal who has been training the house down and should be backed at any odds. The only horse to ever finish in front of Sepoy. Oh, and don’t back it e/w 🙂

Race 6 n5 HUME e/w Poor ride in Bris last start and has blinkers and Munce on to help.

Race 7 n7 GYBE e/w Freshened up since winning 3 on the trot and G Boss should be able to give it a soft run just behind the pace.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

I hope you followed the mail last week and like me had a huge fill up with 3 winners all at black figures. If only every week was like that. A heavy track at ‘The Farm’ today has me a little cautious. I’m content to have just the one bet today and make it either a baked beans or lobster dinner.

Race 7 n1 ELITE FALLS Based on ratings this neddy is the best bet along the eastern seaboard today. Has a ton of class on this lot and has trialled super. I’m playing up 50% of last week’s winnings on this.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.