Unless you are a punt drunk or a Sydney Colt groupie you shouldn’t bet on Sydney as it is a rough day. Have some mail for a $34 horse today. A lounge chair, TVN’s coverage of Flemington and an online account with a corporate bookie is the go.

Race 7 n4 MERCONMAN e/w ($34w $9p) I have taken the quoted prices with Sportsbet (also available with IAS) this morning. This neddy has trialled well and worth a few bob e/w. If it flukes the win I will be able to pay off Greece’s national debt

Race 8n8 LIGHTINTHENITE ($4.0) My only query here is that the connections have left Christian Reith on board. His last ride, when the neddy was the subject of a national plunge (and my biggest bet of the year), bordered on criminal. He chased the tearaway leader in sectional times that made it completely impossible for the horse to have any chance. Any repeat will see Christian fed to the lions!!

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

A ton of mail around today including a couple at double figure odds.

Race 1 n 3 MISS KEEPSAKE – best of the day but short

Race 3 n1 DAILIKA

Race 4 n10 SAID COM

Race 5 n6 SHADOW MINISTER

Race 7 n7 VINTEGE

M/VALLEY Race 9 n3 MORE STRAWBERRIES – 3 calls for mail today and all 3 wanted to tip me into this one in Melb

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

Am getting thinner by the day owing to a lack of money to buy food. Owing to the bad weather, today is a day purely for punt drunks and Sydney Colt’s groupies. Bet small and bet e/w today.

Race 3 n5 FOXSTAR

Race 4 n7 YING LA

Race 5 n7 MYALLA GOLD

Race 6 n6 OLDER THAN TIME

Race 7 n1 KANZAN

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

Well all the attention is on Caulfield today where the champ Black Caviar goes around at a price that stops all of us having a bet. In Sydney there is not too much mail about except for 1 race. In an attempt to recoup last week’s losses it will be an all or nothing day in race 5.

Race 5 n7 LIGHTINTHENITE This neddy won in super impressive fashion first up and still had improvement left in it. I have had my biggest bet of the year on this one and had a saver bet on n3 HOOD who has some chance if the forecast rain comes. God give them strength or I will be on a diet of baked beans all October.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

If anyone has some pull with the man upstairs can you put in a request for the rain to stay away. Otherwise it will play havoc with some great mail for Randwick on ‘Super Saturday’. Extra care taken today to bring some joy to my beautiful niece Cara who is heading out to Randwick to hopefully make life a misery for bookmakers. Also, a welcome aboard to Melb’s Pina who has joined the punt drunk brigade.

Race 1 n7 KYRIA Came from behind in trial to win running away in sensational time. Just keep those other horses out of its way and we collect.

Race 3 n3 AERONAUTICAL The pro punters tell me this neddy had excuses for its last start. Will improve heaps and hopefully knock off the fav.

Race 6 n3 AMBIDEXTER Those in the know assure me Snowden has this cherry ripe in its preparation to peak today.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

I hope you joined the fill up last week when we had 2 tips for 2 wins, with both being black figure odds. Only limited mail today but with full pockets from last week Sydney Colt groupies can join the punt drunks as we are flying high with confidence.

Race 3 n2 FLIGHT OF PEGASUS Would seem to have plenty on this field and pro punters have already jumped all over this neddy.

Race 4 n4 SHADOW WEST Those in the know tell me the last start win by this neddy was full of merit and they are keen to snatch an attractive price.

Race 6 n3 SECRET ADMIRER 2 pro punters and our ace trackman have told me they will be backing SECRET ADMIRER and having a ‘saver’ bet on FAST CLIP. Who am I to argue?

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

A perfect spring day in Sydney today and all the Sydney Colt groupies know how much I love a dry track. It does look a day of favs which should have alarm bells ringing for punt drunks. The secret is to allow the pro punters, trackmen and ratings expert do the hard yards for us. Out tips today come from weeding through their best advice.

Race 3 n3 STRIKE THE STARS Very well placed coming back from WFA. The increase in distance is a definite plus. Has been wowing them on the track.

Race 4 n1 TRUSTING Never been one of my fav horses but it looks to sit on the pace here and will have the best sprint to finish off the race. Best in race on ratings and has been working great.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

Every man and his dog wants to tip me something today. I have mail for 7 races but will keep it to 5 which is more than ample to satisfy the punt drunks amongst us.

Race 1 n9 TAVARNELLE Having 1st start but made trial watchers checking their clocks in a recent trial.

Race 2 n3 AKINOSHIRABE e/w This neddy looked good 2 starts ago but pulled up lame explaining its poor last start showing. We can secure an e/w price owing to its last run.

Race 3 n12 STATE GRADE Our VIC cousins know this neddy. Up today for this race. Has G Boss and up in distance – all +++

Race 4 n6 OFCOURSEICAN e/w A very good fresh horse and is 1st up here. Has an excellent barrier and been working very well.

Race 5 n2 SMART MISSILE Is this neddy a superstar? I think it potentially is and I have taken $2.1 fixed odds with BETCHOICE for half my stake and the other half goes on BOB (best of best) with LUXBET. This will give me the best of 3 totes or best bookies fluc whichever is the better price.

If you are still betting with your state TAB you are a fair dinkum idiot!

 Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

Last week we had a huge fill up with 3 wins and 1 place from 5 tips with the best paying $6.4. So we went from baked beans 2 weeks ago to lobster and scampi last week. Not as much mail about this week and I hate that the meeting has been moved from Randwick to ‘The Farm’. Please don’t waste cash at the TAB. Only bet with the Corporate bookies if you have any respect for money.

Race 1 n4 SIENNA RED Not much value here but all the maps have this neddy up front with a lack of true pace. Definitely worth a bet for punt drunks.

Race 4 n8 OBSEQUIOUS Is 1st up and always runs a top race fresh. Has no weight and the corporate bookies let the Sydney Colt’s groupies on at $5.5 yesterday.

Race 8 n14 SECRET ADMIRER Even Stevie Wonder could see how impressive this neddy was 1st up. I’m told it comes in great on ratings and has no weight. Follow this one through the Spring carnival.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

The bookies may have got the cash last week but the confidence to bounce back is sky high with some good mail around for today with a mix of favs and e/w value awaiting.

Race 1 n9 EMERALD DOWNS e/w The mail around this morning says this neddy is ready to run a race 1st up. The fav PHENOMENAL LASS will be hard to run down but I’m happy to bet e/w on our pick.

Race 2 n6 JUST THE TONIC 2 sources have told me how impressive this neddy has been on the track since running great sectionals winning.

Race 5 n2 SMART MISSILE I usually leave it to the Gelding to tip the really short priced horses to keep the win/bet ratio up but this is an exceptional animal who has been training the house down and should be backed at any odds. The only horse to ever finish in front of Sepoy. Oh, and don’t back it e/w 🙂

Race 6 n5 HUME e/w Poor ride in Bris last start and has blinkers and Munce on to help.

Race 7 n7 GYBE e/w Freshened up since winning 3 on the trot and G Boss should be able to give it a soft run just behind the pace.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.