Good luck to all the ‘once a year’ punters and those, like myself, who are referred to as ‘punt drunks’. It is not easy making a profit on the cup so I suggest a few dollars on some neddies who have been tipped to me either by a pro punter or our ever reliable ratings man.

Flemington

Race 5 n2 KARUTA QUEEN Very short price but it is hard to see this getting beaten. Ran 2nd to the mighty Black Caviar, then won with a leg in the air at its next outing.

Race 6 n2 COMBAT KITTY Only 3 hopes of winning in this race and our neddy is the best rated.

Race 7 (the cup) 1ST: AMERICAIN  2nd: NIWOT  3RD:   GLASS HARMONIUM 4TH: MOURAYAN 5TH: DUNADEN

Race 9 n11 PARABLES Will finish this off at a 100 miles an hour. Prepared to the minute to win this

Randwick

Race 6 n2 SAN ZAIM (65% of race outlay) and n8 SONG AND ROSES (35% of race outlay) On ratings these 2 combined offer the best value in Sydney all day.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

Unless you are a punt drunk or a Sydney Colt groupie you shouldn’t bet on Sydney as it is a rough day. Have some mail for a $34 horse today. A lounge chair, TVN’s coverage of Flemington and an online account with a corporate bookie is the go.

Race 7 n4 MERCONMAN e/w ($34w $9p) I have taken the quoted prices with Sportsbet (also available with IAS) this morning. This neddy has trialled well and worth a few bob e/w. If it flukes the win I will be able to pay off Greece’s national debt

Race 8n8 LIGHTINTHENITE ($4.0) My only query here is that the connections have left Christian Reith on board. His last ride, when the neddy was the subject of a national plunge (and my biggest bet of the year), bordered on criminal. He chased the tearaway leader in sectional times that made it completely impossible for the horse to have any chance. Any repeat will see Christian fed to the lions!!

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

A ton of mail around today including a couple at double figure odds.

Race 1 n 3 MISS KEEPSAKE – best of the day but short

Race 3 n1 DAILIKA

Race 4 n10 SAID COM

Race 5 n6 SHADOW MINISTER

Race 7 n7 VINTEGE

M/VALLEY Race 9 n3 MORE STRAWBERRIES – 3 calls for mail today and all 3 wanted to tip me into this one in Melb

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

Am getting thinner by the day owing to a lack of money to buy food. Owing to the bad weather, today is a day purely for punt drunks and Sydney Colt’s groupies. Bet small and bet e/w today.

Race 3 n5 FOXSTAR

Race 4 n7 YING LA

Race 5 n7 MYALLA GOLD

Race 6 n6 OLDER THAN TIME

Race 7 n1 KANZAN

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

Well all the attention is on Caulfield today where the champ Black Caviar goes around at a price that stops all of us having a bet. In Sydney there is not too much mail about except for 1 race. In an attempt to recoup last week’s losses it will be an all or nothing day in race 5.

Race 5 n7 LIGHTINTHENITE This neddy won in super impressive fashion first up and still had improvement left in it. I have had my biggest bet of the year on this one and had a saver bet on n3 HOOD who has some chance if the forecast rain comes. God give them strength or I will be on a diet of baked beans all October.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.