We have a heavy 9 track at Randwick today which usually makes for questionable punting. Sydney Colt groupies and punt drunks everywhere should stick with the mail today as confidence is high.

Race 1 n7 BERNABEU Last week I starting hearing about the huge raps from Randwick about this neddy. The mail is so strong it may well challenge for favouritism. Pity we have to guess whether it can handle the going.

Race 4 n2 VATUVEI No guessing with this bloke as it has a perfect record on heavy tracks and has been knocking on the door. Today looks the day!

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

Sydney Colt groupies will know from following these posts that I detest Saturday racing being held at provincial tracks. I wasn’t even going to look at the fields but then I got a tip from Randwick for one of Gai’s runners. When this happens you have to sit up and take notice.

Race 3 n3 NORTHERN GLORY e/w I am told Gai has it primed and ready for a 1st up tilt. I grabbed $7 e/w on Thursday. I have no great confidence as I do not like betting at provincial tracks but e/w seems a safe way of protecting our bankroll.

I have been watching the betting on Flemington race 1 n11 MISS STEELE where since Wednesday to now (Friday night) it has firmed from $7.0 to $3.4. It will be interesting to see if champion Melbourne tipster Gelding has it among his selections.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

Happy mother’s day for tomorrow to all of our maternal punt drunks and Sydney Colt groupies.

We have spread our wings this weekend in a bid to secure a modest profit. Racing in Brisbane is hotting up and is becoming viable. You must bet with corporate bookies in Bris and Adel as these 2 cities bring the greatest variance in the 3 tote dividends.

Sydney Race 3 n1 ANEVAY There is mail around to say this first up specialist is again ready to perform. Has great toe out of the barriers and we hope to see an all the way win.

Adelaide Race 7 n1 MOMENT OF CHANGE If ratings mean anything this neddy has heaps on its rivals. Has been backed from Wednesday to now as if unbeatable. The bet of the day but you wont get the $3.50 on offer Wed.

Brisbane Race 7 n 2 RAIN AFFAIR and n10 SEA SIREN. Back both level stakes as they are around $6 each. Rain Affair got within 0.8 lengths of All Too Hard last start and it would be odds on in this field. Must include Sea Siren as everyone at Randwick says it has been working the place down.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

Last Saturday we targeted just the one race and made a modest profit. That takes our 2013 tally to 17 winning bets from 27 races. At this stage of the year we have smiling Sydney Colt groupies and punt drunks everywhere. It is never too late to jump aboard.

Race 1 n1 TOYDINI The most improved neddy in Sydney since being gelded. No fancy price but looks a safe conveyance.

Race 4 n9 ITS A DUNDEEL Why does everyone want to knock this one today? Forget the 3yo form history of this race as this neddy is one out of the box. Can sprint and stay!

Race 5 n3 FAST ‘N’ ROCKING e/w Looks a great bet e/w and has been crying out for a longer trip. Barrier 1 is a ++

Race 6 n4 KELINNI Ran 4th in Melb Cup so do I need to say any more? Is in form and this is a weak Sydney Cup.

Race 7 n6 MORE JOYOUS The 1400m is ideal for this class mare. With race fitness on her side. I have doubts All Too Hard can give it a head start and a beating.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.

Our 1 bet last week ran a shocker and I noted the stewards report said it pulled up distressed. Well I think I was feeling worse than the neddy! So it was money lost but our confidence is still sky high with our 2013 punting showing 16 winning races from 26 bets. With a heavy 9 at Randwick we are only betting in 1 race where I am extremely confident our betting strategy will return a modest profit.

Race 2 n1 EVERAGE and n2 MAJOR CONQUEST. Back both level stakes on BOBs (Luxbet, Betstar & Bookmaker.com). With these 2 we are covering the superior form lines and taking account of the heavy track. If you are not backing them BOBs you may as well keep your wallet in your coat pocket.

Money lost, nothing lost. Confidence lost, everything lost.